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2024-12-14 11:57:58

Look at the data first. The number of individual stocks in the two cities rose by 920, while the number of individual stocks fell by 4,410. Yesterday's general increase turned into today's general decline. Remember the plot to lure more investors that I suggested on Wednesday, and it came true after a day. Time-sharing handicap was boring, and it was smashed at the opening, and it was normal to dive again at the end of the session.Secondly, there is something wrong with such an increase in consumption, and junk stocks have gone to heaven. Let me give you a simple example. Recently, traditional consumption has soared, but you can see how the CPI data in November is, which is why the organization is not moving. Another point is that consumer ETFs have basically not followed, how can I put it? The tickets selected and optimized by institutions are not moving, and the hot money has speculated the tickets that institutions do not participate in.For next week's market, my point of view remains unchanged. This is only a small high point, so I will not say the reason for today's fall. Originally, I have been watching that there is a high probability of taking the initiative to step back and bounce, so I will focus on the following issues:


First of all, let's see if there will be a RRR cut or interest rate cut next weekend. Let's put it this way, it began to blow down the RRR in the middle and late November. Unfortunately, after the MLF parity was reduced and the local debt was issued, although the market liquidity was abundant, they all went to the national debt to hedge. A shares have not only failed to increase funds, but have become blood transfusion packages, which is the biggest reality.First of all, let's see if there will be a RRR cut or interest rate cut next weekend. Let's put it this way, it began to blow down the RRR in the middle and late November. Unfortunately, after the MLF parity was reduced and the local debt was issued, although the market liquidity was abundant, they all went to the national debt to hedge. A shares have not only failed to increase funds, but have become blood transfusion packages, which is the biggest reality.For next week's market, my point of view remains unchanged. This is only a small high point, so I will not say the reason for today's fall. Originally, I have been watching that there is a high probability of taking the initiative to step back and bounce, so I will focus on the following issues:


In terms of sectors, except for cultural media, games, tourist hotels, textiles and clothing, the other sectors have generally declined. It can be said that today is a day for traditional consumption and new consumption in gallants, but other sectors have become a foil! The drop list is very unexpected. Insurance has started bungee jumping in the past two days. Traditional industries and technology growth stocks have no difference, and the style is magical.Finally, to sum up my point of view, there is a high probability that the market will bottom out next week, and the strong support below is near the short-term trend line. Today's plunge is mainly due to yesterday's lure to pull the space too high, so today's retracement is a bit large. However, the follow-up also lacks the basis for a sustained plunge. At least today, this 28-month resonant crash is difficult to continue. The next big probability is that the 28-month market is dominant, so pay attention to the rhythm.Finally, the gold content of the technical small high point has increased, and there is a high probability that the market will stop falling and stabilize next week. This week's rhythm was expected by the news, and it was really difficult to operate. However, on Tuesday, after Lao Liu suggested a small high point, he gave two pressure levels and two support levels when he repaired the rebound on Wednesday. Now it is needless to say that he went up. Let's look at the short-term trend line and the triangular upper rail pressure line.

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